Thought Leadership: 2025 Industry Outlook

2025 Industry Outlook: Electrical Construction Industry

Buckle up - as the electrical construction industry is poised for a transformational yet turbulent year ahead and beyond. With continued workforce challenges and explosive market demand, companies within the industry must adapt to ensure growth and resilience. Below are key trends, opportunities, and challenges shaping the landscape.

Key Trends to Watch in 2025

1. Grid Capacity Constraints

The rise of high-demand industries like artificial intelligence (AI) computing and advanced manufacturing are putting unprecedented pressure on an already aging power grid. With many regions already grappling with capacity issues, electrical contractors will be essential during the project development and design phases to assist with power reliability and continuity planning.

2. Mega Projects

Mega projects—those exceeding $1 billion in capital expenditures—are transforming not just communities, but the entire construction landscape. With 73 semiconductor plants, 30 battery plants, and $59 billion in data center construction underway or planned, mega projects are setting the stage for a new era of industry growth. Locally, a standout example is the anticipated $1.7 billion New York State Department of Health Life Sciences Public Health Lab. While Mega Projects can positively impact local economies, there are many ripple effects that are felt across the country that contractors need to be aware of.

3. Workforce Shortage

Finding skilled labor will remain a critical issue for the electrical construction industry in 2025. CNBC reported that “every year, nearly 10,000 electricians either retire or change careers, but only about 7,000 new ones enter the field.” A shortage of both field workers and engineering staff is expected to persist, leading to increased competition for talent. Companies will need innovative workforce development strategies, such as internship programs and partnerships with trade schools, as well as incorporating tech-forward solutions into the business practice.

4. Shift in Policy

A change in administration is bringing shifts in construction priorities, with a pivot toward traditional infrastructure projects such as roads, bridges, power plants, and industrial and fossil fuel facilities. Here’s what this means for electrical contractors:

Opportunities in private sector-driven projects and public-private partnerships (PPP’s). Locally, projects like the Livingston Avenue Bridge stand-out.

Risks for renewable-focused projects. Locally, projects like the Port of Albany’s Offshore Wind Facility may be at risk. Additionally, there has been speculation as to the future of CHIPS Act under this Administration which could have an impact on local projects like Micron, GlobalFoundries. However, all indications point to the funding remaining in place with potential changes to how the law is implemented – such as DEI requirements.

Tariffs will likely drive short-term increases in raw material costs. The US relies significantly on imports for materials such as wood, iron, steel, and semiconductor chips. These imported materials will likely be subject to Trump’s “America First” economic policy, which includes a proposed 10-25% tariff on imports.

Deregulation that could streamline preconstruction by cutting down permitting timelines.

5. Re-shoring Manufacturing and Supply Chain Adjustments

With more manufacturing facilities moving back to the U.S. to improve supply chain efficiency, the demand for localized electrical construction projects will rise. Contractors will be called upon to service domestic manufacturing plants, potentially filling gaps left by other diminishing sectors.

6. Private Equity and Industry Consolidation

Smaller electrical contracting businesses are likely to remain prime targets for private equity acquisitions. These deals can help bolster larger players' market positions but may also drive out smaller, independently owned businesses, changing the competitive landscape.

7. Union Negotiations and Labor Market Shifts

Labor negotiations are heating up across the U.S., with unions securing wage increases and improved quality-of-life benefits well beyond the historical average. Locally, for example, IBEW Local 43 negotiated a $15/hr raise in base pay over three year contract, reflecting the anticipated uptick in workforce demand—spurred, in part, by landmark projects like Micron facility. IBEW Local 236 will begin contract negotiations next month, so it will be interesting to see if they follow suit, despite, 186 Journeyman and 10 apprentices out of work at present.

Challenges on the Horizon

1. The Ripple Effects of Mega Projects on Workforce

Mega projects create a labor vacuum that pulls in talent from all parts of the country due to attractive incentive pay and per diem. A single mega-project will occupy thousands of construction jobs over several years, which will draw on other building projects and communities. Whether working on a mega-project or not, it is imperative that contractors understand the labor environment and provide the necessary cost contingencies to mitigate the risk

2. Tightened Construction Schedules

Decreased construction durations will remain a significant hurdle, as tighter deadlines put pressure on contractors to deliver projects faster. This compression of timelines can lead to increased costs, operational inefficiencies, and quality control concerns.

3. Capability Gaps

A lack of qualified and competent professionals at both the engineering and construction levels presents a significant bottleneck. The growing complexity of projects requires expertise many firms currently find hard to secure.

4. Unfavorable Contract Terms and Unforeseen Expenses

Gone are the days of verbal commitments and handshake deals. It is imperative that contractors fully understand the contract terms and work within that framework. If you’re a specialty contractor, it is also prudent that you request, at bid time, the Prime Contract, as most flow-down to the subcontractor. Below are keys areas to watch for when signing contracts:

Change Orders: Due to significant deficiencies in contract drawings, many projects are seeing an increase in Change Orders. However, most contracts allow for only a combined 10% markup on Overhead & Profit and the inability to charge for indirect expenses such as Project Management, BIM, Equipment Rentals, etc. As most contractors’ overheads run 10%, this means contractors are bearing the financial burden for design errors and omissions.
Payment Terms & Funding: Specialty contractors are often at the mercy of “paid when paid” contract terms. “Paid when paid” shifts the risk of non-payment from the general contractor to subcontractors, potentially causing cash flow issues and financial instability. It is imperative that contractors put time and effort into their Schedule of Values to ensure early billing for items like Mobilization, Submittals, Programming, Engineering, BIM, Equipment of Stored Materials, etc.

Equally important, is an understanding of how the project is being funded as this may directly impact payments. Funding may need approval from several agencies prior to funding which can further delay payment.

Design Liability: Specialty contractors are bearing the risk and burden of design errors & omissions. It is important to understand the limit of responsibility and whether that extends in to design. There have been instances where the contractor owns the responsibility of providing a “fully functioning system”, regardless of whether the drawings and specifications accomplish that.
Liquidated Damages: Contractors should fully understand their exposure to liquidated damages and how to make claims for extension of time. Contracts typically provide a small window, as to the notice period for delays, sometimes as few as 72 hours. It’s also important that the contractor understand who and how the notice is to be submitted.
Unforeseen Costs: Contractors should pay close attention to requirements found in the General Requirements or Project Manuals where administrative requirements are found that come with a cost. Examples of these cost include software expenses for platforms like Avetta, ComplyWorks, Compass, etc.

Opportunities in 2025

Gen Z Choosing Trades:

The decades of #bringbackthetrades and workforce development initiatives is finally paying off as young people across the country are opting for vocational training and careers in skilled trades over the traditional four-year degrees. It is now our job as contractors to provide them with the training and experience needed to be successful in this industry.

Tech-Forward Solutions:

Companies that integrate AI-driven project planning and management tools will be better equipped to handle tight construction schedules and mitigate labor inefficiencies.

Diversification & Integration:

With an increasing number of business owners looking for an exit-strategy and the need for talented and experience people, there is a great opportunity for contractors to acquire these generational companies to meet their workforce demand, diversify their service offerings and become vertically integrated.

Leveraging Strategic Partnerships:

In a climate where resources are limited, it is more important than ever to leverage relationships and develop strategic partnerships with vendors, Clients, and even your competitors. Strategic partnerships come with many advantages such as access to specialized expertise and resources; mitigation of financial risk; and enhanced innovation and collaboration when it comes to problem solving. Look to partners whose values align with yours and whose expertise compliments your business.

5. Optimization of Prefabrication and Off-Site Manufacturing

Prefabrication and off-site manufacturing have been revolutionizing the construction industry and in 2025, this trend will continue to push boundaries. Contractors who excel in the OSM process can significantly mitigate many of the above mentioned challenges and risks associated with schedule, availability of resources, and costs. To optimize prefabrication and OSM, businesses will need to expand their 3D/4D modeling capabilities and ensure its prioritization during the preconstruction phase.

Final Thoughts

The electrical construction industry in 2025 sits at the crossroads of high demand and structural challenges. Opportunities abound for firms willing to adapt by investing in workforce development, diversifying project portfolios, and adopting smarter technology-driven approaches. Those looking to stay competitive should plan for agile strategies and a proactive response to industry changes to thrive amidst this dynamic market.

Martin Electric’s Focus in 2025: Standardization

As we tackle the opportunities and challenges ahead, standardization is at the heart of our strategy. By creating easily repeatable processes, we can:

Reduce waste while enhancing quality and safety.

Maintain project efficiency despite labor shortages.

Build a workplace culture that values consistency and innovation.

The result? Stronger margins, a safer work environment, and a competitive edge no matter how the trends of 2025 evolve.